Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President / Trump 20+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America 15+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran 10+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Epic Fury 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Death 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Power 5+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Midnight Hammer 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hormuz 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hostage | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peace | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Water Supply | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sacrifice | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| F-35 / F-22 / F-15 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kurd / Kurdish | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Intelligence | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claude / Anthropic | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Secretary Hegseth and Admiral Brad Cooper are set to host a press conference on March 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET (see https://x.com/DeptofWar/status/2029548070128738314?s=20). This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Hegseth or Cooper say the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where either Hegseth or Brad Cooper are speaking, those clips will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the joint press conference with Secretary Hegseth and Admiral Brad Cooper on March 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this named, scheduled event, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled by Hegseth or Brad Cooper, or otherwise is not aired by March 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for President / Trump 20+ times means the market gives it about 0%.