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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina / Carpenter | 0% | — | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tour 2+ times | 0% | −83 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Travis / Kelce 3+ times | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wedding | 100% | +38 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pregnant | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Swiftie 2+ times | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Eras | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spotify | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Super Bowl | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Baby | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chiefs 2+ times | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Adele | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · 27¢ | — | ended |
| Jason | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · >99¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379d | MAGA.ONE2 fills | Sabrina / Carpenter | SellNo>99¢ | $19,323 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 379d |  Oompa-Loompa | Sabrina / Carpenter | SellNo>99¢ | $5,155 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 381d | 033033033 | Sabrina / Carpenter | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,981 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 381d | pokgaikid | Sabrina / Carpenter | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,588 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 381d |  Rommel💀 | Sabrina / Carpenter | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 382d |  aenews22 fills | Sabrina / Carpenter | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,051 | +$34 +1.1% | 20 |
| 382d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Bad Bunny | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,812 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 382d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Tour 2+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,316 | +$36 +1.6% | 20 |
| 383d |  brodiaga | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | +$24 +1.0% | 20 |
axanet33,867 sharesTaylor Swift is scheduled to appear on the October 6 broadcast of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: https://people.com/taylor-swift-to-appear-on-the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon-11819197 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift says the listed term at any point during this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where Taylor Swift is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this appearance is definitively cancelled by Taylor Swift or NBC, or otherwise is not released by October 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Sabrina / Carpenter means the market gives it about 0%.