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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Software | 100% | +3 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 0% | −93 pts | −91 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Quarter 10+ times | 0% | −69 pts | −80 pts | — · 23¢ | — | ended |
| Robot | 100% | +22 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cybertruck | 0% | −25 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Income 10+ times | 0% | −7 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America | 100% | +5 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emission | 0% | −14 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Solar | 100% | +15 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Texas | 100% | +18 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fiscal 10+ times | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SpaceX | 100% | +43 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Car 10+ times | 100% | +4 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Optimus | 100% | +3 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Energy | 100% | +3 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Subscription | 100% | +32 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Growth 5+ times | 100% | +27 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Factory | 100% | +3 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Software means the market gives it about 100%.