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Polymarket · CryptoClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 90 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 40 | 100% | +65 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 30 | 0% | −9 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 60 | 0% | −50 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70 | 0% | −49 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 50 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d |  ToshiRock | ↓ 40 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $5,238 | −$5,238 −100% | 2 |
What will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit by April 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 90 means the market gives it about 0%.