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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 - 408k | 100% | +3 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <405k | 0% | +2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 408 - 411k | 0% | +23 pts | +25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 411 - 413k | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 413 - 416k | 0% | −10 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >416k | 0% | −28 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d |  DiamondHands11 | <405k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on March 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on March 1, 2026. If no data for March 1 is released by March 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/11)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 405 - 408k means the market gives it about 100%.
