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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Making Priestly Celibacy Optional | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Communion for Divorced & Remarried | 50% | −14 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Reassessing Humanae Vitae | 50% | −10 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| German “Synodal Way” | 50% | +15 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ordaining Female Deacons | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Blessing Same-Sex Couples | 50% | +6 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Focusing on Climate Change | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Promoting a “Synodal Church” | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Restricting the Vetus Ordo (Old Latin Mass) | 50% | −5 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Vatican-China Secret Accords | 50% | −28 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 533d | dontshowmyname | Communion for Divorced & Remarried | SellNo48¢ → 50¢ | $1,087 | −$45 −4.2% | — |
| 533d | nostradamus-markets | Communion for Divorced & Remarried | BuyYes52¢ → 50¢ | $1,339 | −$42 −3.2% | 4 |
| 533d | FrankyFourFingers | Communion for Divorced & Remarried | BuyYes51¢ → 50¢ | $2,062 | −$40 −2.0% | 4 |
| 533d |  Flipadelphia3 fills | Ordaining Female Deacons | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,099 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | skullface791 | Promoting a “Synodal Church” | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$161 +16% | 4 |
| 533d | Drelvyn | Reassessing Humanae Vitae | SellNo38¢ → 50¢ | $10,702 | −$3,380 −32% | — |
| 533d | Drelvyn | Reassessing Humanae Vitae | BuyNo41¢ → 50¢ | $11,547 | +$2,535 +22% | 8 |
| 533d |  GoriIIa | Ordaining Female Deacons | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $16,226 | +$1,317 +8.1% | 4 |
| 534d | Sarethra | Communion for Divorced & Remarried | SellYes64¢ → 50¢ | $20,956 | +$4,584 +22% | — |
| 534d | Sarethra | Communion for Divorced & Remarried | BuyYes65¢ → 50¢ | $21,284 | −$4,912 −23% | 4 |
| 534d | Tarvina | German “Synodal Way” | SellYes42¢ → 50¢ | $11,399 | −$2,171 −19% | — |
| 534d | Tarvina | German “Synodal Way” | BuyYes43¢ → 50¢ | $11,671 | +$1,900 +16% | 7 |
| 535d |  dududududu | Ordaining Female Deacons | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,032 | −$190 −9.3% | — |
| 535d | Hurella | Making Priestly Celibacy Optional | SellNo48¢ → 50¢ | $15,642 | −$652 −4.2% | — |
| 535d | Hurella | Making Priestly Celibacy Optional | BuyNo48¢ → 50¢ | $15,656 | +$652 +4.2% | 5 |
| 536d | dududududu | Ordaining Female Deacons | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$67 +6.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Next Pope is in favor of the listed issue according to collegeofcardinalsreport.com. This market will resolve to “No” if the Next Pope is against the listed issue according to collegeofcardinalsreport.com. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Next Pope is ambiguous or has unknown views on the listed issue according to collegeofcardinalsreport.com. This market will resolve immediately after the next pope is announced. Any statements on the listed issues after they have been announced will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be be the collegeofcardinalsreport.com, specifically,https://collegeofcardinalsreport.com/where-they-stand/. If the next Pope’s views are not listed on collegeofcardinalsreport.com, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Making Priestly Celibacy Optional means the market gives it about 50%.