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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6858.47 - 6927.05 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <6721.30 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6721.30 - 6789.89 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6789.89 - 6858.47 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6927.05 - 6995.64 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >6995.64 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d |  Chims | 6858.47 - 6927.05 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 291d | Chims | 6789.89 - 6858.47 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 291d | MistahFox2 fills | 6927.05 - 6995.64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,036 | +$45 +0.6% | 4 |
| 291d | MistahFox | 6858.47 - 6927.05 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,440 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 291d |  olegs | 6858.47 - 6927.05 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,736 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 291d | lilesto | <6721.30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,227 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 292d | jaedung | <6721.30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,683 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the official S&P 500 Index opening price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, January 5, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official opening price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the relevant day has no official relevant price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open value published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 6858.47 - 6927.05 means the market gives it about 100%.