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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Communist | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Black | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Sleepy Joe | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Tax | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Bitcoin/BTC | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 0% | −59 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Unrealized gains | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 3+ times | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Crazy | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | 97¢ · 100¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Laugh/Laughing | 100% | +42 pts | 0 pts | 97¢ · >99¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 792d | professorx | Black | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 792d | professorx | Sleepy Joe | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 792d | professorx | Communist | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting what Donald Trump will post on social media during the final night of the Democratic National Convention.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Communist means the market gives it about 0%.