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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million 15+ times | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 3+ times | 100% | +47 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin/Crypto | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Woke | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gender | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell 5+ times | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 30+ times | 100% | +66 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DOGE | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Condom | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon 5+ times | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gold | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Egg | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| IQ | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ronald/Reagan | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Zelensky | 100% | +55 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| King | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dictator | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608d | Bonk123 | Trump 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,616 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 608d | Bonk123 | FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation | SellYes>99¢ | $1,106 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 608d |  Anon1792681 | Bitcoin/Crypto | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$41 +2.8% | 20 |
| 608d |  Bertapotamous | Woke | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,882 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 |
| 608d | Anon1792681 | Gender | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | +$85 +4.2% | 20 |
| 608d |  GRUB | Woke | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | +$39 +2.2% | 20 |
| 608d |  heizenber9 | FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 608d | MayorOfMagaville6969 | Million 15+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$515 +33% | 20 |
| 608d | Anon1792681 | Woke | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,167 | +$290 +13% | 20 |
| 608d |  dududududu | Million 15+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$689 +64% | 20 |
| 610d | Aelthar | Million 15+ times | SellNo30¢ → 0¢ | $23,100 | +$23,100 +100% | — |
| 610d | GOGE2.0 | Million 15+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $53,900 | +$23,100 +43% | 25 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered. The resolution source will be video of the speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Million 15+ times means the market gives it about 100%.