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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million 10+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weaponization | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sanctuary | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency 2+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 3+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Billion 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epstein | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hoax | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justice | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rule of Law | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Laptop | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Reform | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Order | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Waste 3+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Law | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Deregulation | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fairness | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Women's Sports | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 588d |  Euan | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,418 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 588d |  AgricultureSecretary | Justice | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$22 +1.8% | 20 |
| 589d | Krythos | Million 10+ times | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $29,839 | +$29,839 +100% | — |
| 589d | Valthyros | Million 10+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $47,581 | +$33,065 +69% | 30 |
Fartard385 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Department of Justice on March 14, 2025. (https://www.axios.com/2025/03/13/trump-justice-department-speech). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any statements made by Trump during the appearance, including any Q&A, will qualify. The resolution source will be video of the speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Million 10+ times means the market gives it about 0%.