Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eight wars | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rare earth / Mineral | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rwanda / Congo 12+ times | 0% | −50 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 7+ times | 0% | −80 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Machete | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peace / Deal 7+ times | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace in the Middle East | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cambodia | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve / Witkoff | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vicious / Brutal | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border / Tariff 5+ times | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malaysia / Kuala Lumpur | 100% | −5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| South Africa / G20 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 31 years | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in multilateral events with the presidents of Rwanda and the Congo on December 4, 2025 (https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-rwanda-presidents-sign-peace-deal-washington-next-week-sources-say-2025-11-28/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the President of the Congo or the President of Rwanda (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring Donald Trump and either leader on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Eight wars means the market gives it about 0%.