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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA 3+ times | 100% | +68 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 0% | −60 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springfield | 100% | +79 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border Czar | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Epstein | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 3+ times | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Haitian | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cat | 100% | +67 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marxist | 100% | +35 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alien 5+ times | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fraud | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 773d | SalamAleikum | Border 15+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | professorx2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,929 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d |  tradeojones | Elon Musk | SellNo>99¢ | $1,513 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 773d |  donjo | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,376 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d |  paleskin | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,086 | +$29 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d |  pururu | Border 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 773d | donjo | Border 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 773d |  Slimedart2 fills | Drill Baby Drill | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,056 | −$53 −0.9% | — |
| 773d | donjo | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d |  Ravenholdt | Drill Baby Drill | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | −$20 −0.8% | — |
| 773d | pururu | China 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,435 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | anon1565 | Border 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,477 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 773d | Niniti25 fills | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,376 | +$185 +0.8% | 20 |
| 773d | Big.Dog | Abortion | SellYes>99¢ | $2,437 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | Breezy-Entrance | Fake News | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,353 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | MAGA 3+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,963 | −$37 −0.7% | — |
| 773d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Springfield | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,622 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d |  redbloodzcell | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 773d |  SonOnTheRun | Fake News | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,295 | −$43 −1.0% | — |
| 773d |  MarekyMarek | Springfield | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,398 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | 0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82 | Border 15+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | anon1565 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$13 +0.9% | 20 |
| 773d | Lucky31 | Springfield | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,077 | −$187 −0.9% | — |
| 773d | Niniti2 | Abortion | SellYes>99¢ | $1,198 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | SonOnTheRun | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 21 |
| 773d |  BlackSky123 | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 773d |  mango-lassi | Alien 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,289 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d |  MLBksRETARD | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,656 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 773d |  JJo3 fills | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,228 | +$479 +9.2% | 20 |
| 773d | ssxeet | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,167 | +$98 +2.4% | 20 |
| 773d | Breezy-Entrance | Fraud | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 773d | rtdream | Elon Musk | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 21 |
| 773d | pururu | Cat | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,095 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | donjo3 fills | Cat | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,503 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | poptree4 fills | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,992 | +$255 +1.2% | 20 |
| 773d | lawfultots2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$294 +2.7% | 20 |
| 773d |  frenchlaundry | Border 15+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$808 +54% | 20 |
| 773d | Dragonfly-519 | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$191 +9.6% | 20 |
| 773d | Dragonfly-519 | Drill Baby Drill | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$64 +5.3% | 20 |
| 773d | lawfultots | Elon Musk | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$68 +4.9% | 20 |
| 773d | Qtyu | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,004 | +$396 +9.9% | 20 |
| 773d | Alder | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$55 +5.4% | 20 |
| 773d | avareechi | Springfield | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | donjo | Fraud | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,265 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | SonOnTheRun | Fake News | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,282 | +$772 +34% | 20 |
| 773d |  flamingfish | Cat | BuyYes100¢ | $3,714 | +$19 +0.5% | 20 |
| 773d | JJo | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,751 | +$360 +13% | 20 |
| 773d | MarekyMarek | Fraud | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 773d | anon15652 fills | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $4,831 | +$3,542 +73% | 28 |
| 773d | JJo | Tampon | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$194 +13% | 20 |
| 773d |  HaterzLoserz6 fills | Israel | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $33,588 | +$2,793 +8.3% | 21 |
| 773d | yegnim | Springfield | SellYes>99¢ | $1,553 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | HsB34sgg | Border Czar | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,824 | −$49 −1.0% | — |
| 773d |  EdgyUsername | Border Czar | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 773d |  Axios | Border Czar | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,118 | −$31 −1.0% | — |
| 773d |  Dropper | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$42 +2.6% | 20 |
| 773d |  AgricultureSecretary | Border Czar | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | poptree | Border Czar | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | Axios | Border Czar | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,082 +54% | 20 |
| 773d |  TimeQuestion | Cat | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,575 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say at his debate with Kamala Harris scheduled for September 10, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for MAGA 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.