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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax 20+ times | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 100% | +77 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 10+ times | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 30+ times | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 20+ times | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Missile defense shield | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 100% | +64 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Illegal alien | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 0% | −79 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 747d |  AlastorOrion | Border 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 747d | duckduck | Kamala 20+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,542 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 747d |  Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,392 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 747d |  JanSobieski32 fills | Million 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,282 | +$23 +0.7% | 20 |
| 747d | JanSobieski3 | Border 20+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,491 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 747d |  aldynspeedruns2 fills | Million 10+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,389 | +$775 +14% | 20 |
| 747d |  Dropper | Million 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,010 | +$86 +2.1% | 20 |
| 747d | JanSobieski32 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,446 | +$213 +6.2% | 20 |
| 747d |  Parz1vaI | Million 10+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | +$58 +3.1% | 20 |
| 747d |  Axios | Million 10+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 20 |
| 747d |  syncope | Border 30+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$76 +3.1% | 20 |
| 747d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Kamala 30+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$49 +4.2% | 20 |
| 747d | scoobydoobydoo | Border 20+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 747d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Border 30+ times | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | +$3,176 +163% | 22 |
| 747d | DanielS10 | Border 20+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 747d | Axios | Border 20+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,916 | +$94 +4.9% | 20 |
| 747d | georgejetson | Tax 20+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,244 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 747d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Elon Musk | SellYes>99¢ | $1,616 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 747d | Axios | Kamala 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$25 +2.3% | 20 |
| 747d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Missile defense shield | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$329 +22% | 20 |
| 747d |  Anon5215 | Tax 20+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,196 | +$63 +1.0% | 20 |
| 747d | upolio | Border 30+ times | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 20 |
| 747d |  Icarvs | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 747d | scoobydoobydoo | Elon Musk | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$34 +1.7% | 20 |
| 748d | Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$37 +3.5% | 20 |
| 748d | DanielS10 | Border 20+ times | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$339 +30% | 20 |
| 748d |  mr.ozi | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | +$124 +4.3% | 20 |
| 748d | georgejetson | Kamala 30+ times | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,817 | −$2,817 −100% | 20 |
| 748d | JanSobieski32 fills | Kamala 20+ times | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,552 | +$1,006 +28% | 27 |
| 748d | JanSobieski3 | Trans | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$137 +13% | 20 |
| 748d | Kroll703 | Kamala 30+ times | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,042 | −$1,042 −100% | 30 |
| 748d |  rousseauuu | Tax 20+ times | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,404 | −$1,404 −100% | 32 |
| 748d | EscalateFund | Border 30+ times | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $3,896 | −$3,896 −100% | 28 |
| 748d | Ch5 | Tax 20+ times | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,763 | +$691 +25% | 25 |
| 748d | Scottisommers | Border 30+ times | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | −$1,026 −100% | 26 |
| 748d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | +$87 +4.2% | 21 |
rousseauuu7,019 shares
Mouse316 sharesThis is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Wisconsin.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tax 20+ times means the market gives it about 100%.