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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +77 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Abortion 10+ times | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Women love me | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Women's sports | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Parental Rights | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Melania | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Execution | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ninth month | 0% | −58 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion 5+ times | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Black women | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laken Riley | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 20+ times | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roe/Wade | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 738d |  Axios | Laken Riley | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,433 | +$85 +1.0% | 20 |
| 738d |  AgricultureSecretary | Laken Riley | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 738d |  ljmoiajswnwq | Abortion 5+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$100 +6.4% | 20 |
| 738d |  Anon1792681 | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,988 | +$112 +2.2% | 20 |
| 738d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Border 20+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,586 | +$390 +15% | 20 |
| 738d |  Wickier | Laken Riley | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,933 | −$1,933 −100% | 20 |
Donald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Border 20+ times means the market gives it about 100%.