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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 100% | +30 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 100% | +44 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beach | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alien 3+ times | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border Czar | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Insane Asylum | 0% | −65 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marxist | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| World War 3 | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nasty | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Debate | 100% | +42 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Space Force | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Orbán | 100% | +59 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791d | grappli | Tampon | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $4,391 | −$4,391 −100% | 20 |
| 791d |  SonOnTheRun | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 791d |  carp | Alien 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 791d | SonOnTheRun | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 20 |
| 791d |  syncope | Border 5+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$26 +2.4% | 20 |
| 791d | Bidensupporter123 | Alien 3+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $3,599 | −$3,599 −100% | 20 |
| 791d | SonOnTheRun | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$638 +32% | 20 |
| 791d |  Secret14thKey4 fills | Beach | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $10,742 | −$10,742 −100% | 20 |
| 791d | Secret14thKey | Insane Asylum | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,736 | −$1,736 −100% | 20 |
| 791d | Secret14thKey | Border 5+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,295 | +$211 +6.4% | 20 |
| 791d |  factman | MAGA | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$50 +4.2% | 20 |
| 791d |  05brownboy | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 791d | ALevinson | Border Czar | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$88 +8.7% | 20 |
rousseauuu200 sharesThis is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his speech scheduled for August 23 in Glendale, Arizona.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Comrade Kamala 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.