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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charlie / Kirk 5+ times | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moon / Astronaut | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Radical Left | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sleepy / Biden / Obama 10+ times | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful 3+ times | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Make America Great Again | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assassin / Assassinate | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No No No | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pope | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Woke | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| TikTok | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Common sense | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 10+ times | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gay | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eight Wars / Eighth War | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Christian | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Medal of Freedom | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Secret Service | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| American Dream | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lunatic / Lunacy | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189d | deyi962451 | American Dream | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 189d | deyi962451 | Pope | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,398 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 189d | Recent-Microwave | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 189d | ShearedGoaty | Make America Great Again | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$75 +5.9% | 20 |
Chrome525 shares
Lavincey154 shares
RadarMentions141 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.