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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| AUKUS | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trillion / Million / Billion 10+ times | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thank you 8+ times | 100% | +44 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China 3+ times | 100% | +18 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Taiwan | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joe / Biden 4+ times | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Australia 8+ times | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mineral / Earth 2+ times | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Where are you from | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 7+ times | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gaza / Israel | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 25¢ | — | ended |
| Pacific | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 8 Wars | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aussie | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Aluminum | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 368d |  Allinnothing | AUKUS | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,554 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 368d | quanterty | Thank you 8+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,500 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 368d |  Bertapotamous | Thank you 8+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,245 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 368d | Thin-Print | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,166 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 368d |  Scemer | Trillion / Million / Billion 10+ times | BuyYes100¢ | $6,180 | +$31 +0.5% | 20 |
| 368d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Where are you from | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$26 +1.8% | 20 |
| 368d |  CitriniResearch | AI / Artificial Intelligence | SellYes>99¢ | $2,046 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Taiwan | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,543 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 368d |  AllByMyseIf | Trillion / Million / Billion 10+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$431 +43% | 20 |
| 368d | CitriniResearch | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | +$63 +3.1% | 20 |
| 368d |  NeoSay10 | Taiwan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 368d |  AgricultureSecretary | Tariff 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$20 +1.4% | 20 |
| 368d | EgorKK | Thank you 8+ times | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$845 −83% | — |
| 369d | IronLeaf22 | Gaza / Israel | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$321 +25% | 20 |
| 369d | CodeMancer19 | Gaza / Israel | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$281 +25% | 20 |
| 369d |  Oompa-Loompa | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$72 +4.9% | 20 |
| 369d | Thin-Print | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$64 +5.8% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in events with the Prime Minister of Australia on October 20, 2025 (see https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/trump-meet-australias-pm-washington-oct-20-white-house-official-says-2025-09-23/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Prime Minister of Australia on October 20, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the Prime Minister of Australia (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.