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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slopadopoulos / ABC Fake News | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | — | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Job 10+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Rose Garden | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 40¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| China / President Xi | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | — | — | — · 14¢ | — | ended |
| Communist | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 373d |  AgricultureSecretary | Slopadopoulos / ABC Fake News | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,818 | +$200 +1.0% | 20 |
| 373d |  AllByMyseIf | Job 10+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to host a ballroom dinner on October 15, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President hosts a Ballroom Dinner" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Slopadopoulos / ABC Fake News means the market gives it about 0%.