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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| World cup | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peace | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Hell | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | — | 45¢ · 100¢ (55¢) | — | ended |
| Obama | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| War | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Deal | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oil | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| NATO | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Help | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| President 5+ times | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Turkey / Turkiye 5+ times | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109d |  AgricultureSecretary | War | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$36 +2.7% | 21 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on July 7, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET (https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2073953815431168228?s=20). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the meeting featuring the Turkish President on July 7, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Bilateral Meeting with the President of the Republic of Turkey [3:15 PM Local]" scheduled for 8:15 AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Iraq means the market gives it about 0%.