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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampon | 100% | +45 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World War 3 | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA | 0% | −90 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alien 3+ times | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border Czar | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Insane Asylum | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 3+ times | 0% | −78 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fracking | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hannibal Lecter | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 792d | professorx | MAGA | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,968 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 792d |  MALDEMER | World War 3 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,800 | +$200 +1.0% | 20 |
| 792d | professorx | Comrade Kamala | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 792d |  Anon5215 | MAGA | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,605 | +$395 +6.0% | 20 |
| 792d | professorx | Tampon | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,987 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 792d | Anon5215 | Tampon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,453 | +$186 +1.0% | 20 |
| 792d | Anon5215 | Border Czar | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,807 | +$88 +4.9% | 20 |
This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say at his border speech scheduled for August 22, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tampon means the market gives it about 100%.