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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran / Israel 10+ times | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nazi / Hitler | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transparent | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Coal | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Filibuster | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Job 20+ times | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fed / Federal Reserve | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russia | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 3+ times | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden / Obama 10+ times | 100% | +52 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Data Center | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Socialist | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Putin | 100% | +41 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d | Iran / Israel 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,411 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 84d | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 84d | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 84d | Biden / Obama 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,678 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 84d | lIllIlllIlIl | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,711 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 84d | Icky-Hesitation | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | SellNo43¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$1,379 −133% | — |
| 87d | Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$69 +5.3% | 21 | |
| 87d | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,793 | −$1,793 −100% | 25 | |
| 87d | Transparent | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$746 +49% | 25 | |
| 88d | Filibuster | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$389 +36% | 22 |
Trump is scheduled to hold a cabinet meeting on July 31, 2026 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ytbAVpDBXs&t=62s). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during the cabinet meeting scheduled for July 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's cabinet meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times means the market gives it about 0%.