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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 30+ times | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Green New Scam 2+ times | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reagan | 100% | +50 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 35+ times | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 10+ times | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | +54 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hurricane 3+ times | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Too Big To Rig 3+ times | 100% | +71 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unrealized | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sleepy/Crooked Joe 3+ times | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alaska | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 741d |  cashnweed | Border 20+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,627 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 741d |  AgricultureSecretary | Tampon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,515 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 741d | MandoCT2 fills | Tampon | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,389 | −$788 −23% | — |
| 741d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 741d | DaKakuna | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,148 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 741d |  Anon1792681 | Green New Scam 2+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,445 | +$55 +1.0% | 20 |
| 741d | poptree | Green New Scam 2+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 741d | 😏😏😏 | Kamala 35+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,938 | +$60 +2.0% | 20 |
| 741d | Anon17926812 fills | Trans | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,195 | +$167 +2.7% | 20 |
| 741d | AgricultureSecretary | Trans | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 741d | Anon1792681 | Missile Defense Shield | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | +$399 +25% | 20 |
| 741d | Anon1792681 | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$21 +1.8% | 20 |
| 741d | rpo | Reagan | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,036 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 741d | scoobydoobydoo | Reagan | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | +$147 +11% | 20 |
| 741d | 😏😏😏 | Border 20+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,608 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 741d | scoobydoobydoo | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$230 +14% | 20 |
| 741d | scoobydoobydoo | Too Big To Rig 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$52 +3.5% | 20 |
| 741d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$1,052 +78% | 20 |
| 741d | OPMSucks | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$330 +12% | 20 |
| 741d |  altt444 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $20,758 | +$2,007 +9.7% | 20 |
| 741d | BiggieSols-466 | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$3,197 +64% | 20 |
| 741d | lug2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,118 | +$1,012 +8.4% | 20 |
| 741d |  ANudeEgg | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$118 +9.9% | 20 |
| 741d | MandoCT3 fills | Tampon | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | +$936 +29% | 20 |
| 741d | altt444 | Green New Scam 2+ times | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $4,872 | −$4,872 −100% | 20 |
| 742d | cashnweed | Border 20+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$407 +33% | 20 |
| 742d | Muromec | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$534 +53% | 20 |
| 742d | 0xffffffff | Unrealized | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | 20 |
| 742d | EscalateFund3 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,806 | +$334 +3.8% | 21 |
| 742d |  Wickier | Hurricane 3+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 30 |
| 742d | 0xffffffff | Border 20+ times | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | +$590 +22% | 25 |
| 742d |  JanSobieski3 | Trans | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | +$198 +11% | 23 |
| 743d |  mr.ozi | Trans | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$104 +8.7% | 22 |
| 743d | ohooho | Trans | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | +$239 +11% | 22 |
This is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Coachella, California scheduled for October 12, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.