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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China 10+ times | 0% | −68 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ford | 0% | −65 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| North Carolina 2+ times | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 30+ times | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reagan | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tesla | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hurricane 2+ times | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Insane Asylum | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| American Dream 3+ times | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million 10+ times | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 35+ times | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weave | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735d |  jeterl | China 10+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $7,640 | −$28 −0.4% | — |
| 735d | MandoCT | Kamala 30+ times | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | −$420 −19% | — |
| 735d |  Parz1vaI | Ford | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,635 | +$95 +2.0% | 20 |
| 735d | Nina9009 | North Carolina 2+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,369 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 735d | WigglyWaffles | Border 25+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$44 +2.0% | 20 |
| 735d | Rainiak | Border 25+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$165 +11% | 20 |
| 735d | Nina9009 | Border 35+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 735d |  Anon1792681 | Insane Asylum | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,854 | +$76 +2.0% | 20 |
| 735d |  Axios | Insane Asylum | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$118 +6.7% | 20 |
| 735d |  Mrmarket334 | Hurricane 2+ times | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$900 +45% | 20 |
| 735d |  mr.ozi | Trans | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,915 | −$614 −21% | — |
| 735d | dotaa555 | Reagan | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$2,200 +67% | 20 |
| 735d |  Secret14thKey | Reagan | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,578 | −$3,578 −100% | 22 |
| 735d |  Mr.Lovegood | Border 35+ times | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$94 +8.7% | 20 |
| 735d |  Wloczega | Ford | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 20 |
| 735d | lug2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,820 | +$290 +5.0% | 20 |
| 735d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | China 10+ times | BuyNo35¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$3,015 +186% | 21 |
| 735d |  BustedCungly | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$56 +5.3% | 20 |
| 735d | Mrmarket334 | Reagan | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 21 |
| 735d | Leoooooooooooooooooo | Tesla | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $4,261 | −$4,261 −100% | 20 |
| 735d | dotaa555 | Tesla | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,923 | +$2,391 +82% | 20 |
| 735d | MandoCT | Kamala 30+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$697 +35% | 20 |
| 735d | dotaa555 | North Carolina 2+ times | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,902 | +$1,941 +67% | 20 |
| 735d | dotaa555 | Kamala 30+ times | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,447 | −$1,447 −100% | 22 |
| 735d | dotaa555 | Insane Asylum | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,365 | −$1,365 −100% | 22 |
| 735d | WigglyWaffles | Weave | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$207 +19% | 20 |
| 735d |  fhantombets | China 10+ times | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,352 | −$1,352 −100% | 20 |
| 735d | EscalateFund4 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,778 | +$502 +3.9% | 21 |
| 736d |  Wickier | Trans | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$201 +11% | 20 |
| 736d | grappli | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$685 +62% | 30 |
| 736d | grappli | Border 25+ times | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,411 | −$1,411 −100% | 31 |
| 736d | Wfhgg | Hurricane 2+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$858 +64% | 30 |
| 736d | IGghjyh | Hurricane 2+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$897 +64% | 30 |
| 736d | Qhgjgj | Hurricane 2+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 28 |
| 736d | Qhgfjbf | Hurricane 2+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 28 |
| 736d | jeterl | China 10+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $3,944 | +$3,725 +94% | 28 |
| 736d |  just.some.guy | American Dream 3+ times | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 28 |
| 736d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Hurricane 2+ times | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$740 +67% | 28 |
| 736d | Kusitaaa | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$812 +75% | 28 |
| 736d | Yityse | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$817 +75% | 28 |
| 736d |  Kusytse | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$774 +75% | 28 |
| 736d | mr.ozi | Trans | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$132 +12% | 23 |
| 737d |  HSG5 | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$888 +89% | 28 |
| 737d | Srgtrf | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$893 +89% | 28 |
| 737d | Hghjyt | MAGA 4+ times | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$980 −96% | — |
| 737d | Hghjyt | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$940 +89% | 28 |
| 737d |  JanSobieski3 | Million 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | −$1,084 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | MariamAl-Sayed | China 10+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,090 | −$1,090 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | AndrewRobinson | China 10+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | BettyHill | China 10+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,092 | −$1,092 −100% | 25 |
| 737d |  AhmedAl-Fahad | China 10+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | −$1,166 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | Xfgfhj | Ford | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | +$1,450 +100% | — |
| 737d | Pghbvc | Ford | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,450 +138% | 25 |
| 737d | RobeH | China 10+ times | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | Ffgfdg | Border 25+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$665 +54% | 25 |
| 737d | Atuhyju | Border 25+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$665 +54% | 25 |
| 737d | BarbaraAdams | China 10+ times | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,349 | −$1,349 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | Mksjt | China 10+ times | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | JSHTCCC | China 10+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,322 | −$1,322 −100% | 25 |
| 737d | Agfdjhfk | China 10+ times | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,420 | +$1,420 +100% | — |
r3gul4rm4n200 sharesThis is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Detroit, Michigan scheduled for October 18, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China 10+ times means the market gives it about 0%.