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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 100% | +14 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times | 0% | −56 pts | −67 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Percent 5+ times | 100% | +61 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | +49 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine 7+ times | 0% | −61 pts | −58 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Congo | 100% | +57 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Congratulate / Congratulations | 0% | −69 pts | −75 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 5+ times | 0% | −38 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nazi / Hitler | 0% | −12 pts | −20 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Illegal / Illegally | 0% | −54 pts | −64 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Women's Sports / Transgender | 100% | +77 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden's War | 0% | −44 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 2+ times | 0% | −33 pts | −37 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Natural Gas / Nord Stream | 0% | −32 pts | −38 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Obliterate / Obliteration | 0% | −22 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Biden's War | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,660 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Congratulate / Congratulations | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,583 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,970 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Russia / Ukraine 7+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,938 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Hell 2+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,844 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d |  Burnmoneyuser | Natural Gas / Nord Stream | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,153 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d |  Infringe | Obliterate / Obliteration | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d | Dordorbaby | Nazi / Hitler | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 415d |  GobiDesertCanoePro | Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | +$36 +1.0% | 20 |
| 415d |  scout | Congratulate / Congratulations | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 415d |  Bertapotamous | Percent 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 415d | scout | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,874 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 415d | Burnmoneyuser | Biden's War | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$11 +1.1% | 20 |
| 415d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Congo | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$19 +1.8% | 20 |
| 415d |  Patroclus | NATO | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 416d | TheWolfOfPoly | Women's Sports / Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 416d |  Talk2Frank | Trump | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,127 | −$1,127 −100% | 20 |
| 416d |  brodiaga | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$28 +2.1% | 20 |
| 419d | EscalateFund | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,085 | +$109 +3.5% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral events with the president of Poland on September 3, 2025 (see https://x.com/WojPawelczyk/status/1959299473504616841) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at bilateral or multilateral events featuring the President of Poland. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about scheduled bilateral and multilateral events with the President of Poland (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a bilateral or multilateral lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.