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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote 15+ times | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 25+ times | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | 100% | +41 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cheat | 0% | −81 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Rogan | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 3+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gun 5+ times | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −59 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Get Out and Vote | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Turning Point | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Capone | 100% | +54 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Frack/Fracking | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Defund the Police 2+ times | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 2+ times | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alien Enemies Act | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,091 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $3,139 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 730d | Kng47 | Gun 5+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,172 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 730d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,285 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 730d | Trans | SellYes>99¢ | $2,318 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,739 | +$174 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 730d | VPenguin | Kamala 25+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 730d | poptree | God 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 730d | God 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,920 | +$80 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,371 | +$48 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 730d | Rainiak | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,926 | +$122 +4.2% | 20 |
| 730d | Cheat | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 730d | Cheat | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 730d | Cheat | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,752 | +$48 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | +$19 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 730d | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,554 | +$46 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 730d | polyswiss | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$44 +1.0% | 20 |
| 730d | China 10+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,554 | +$141 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 730d | Border 20+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,421 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,277 | +$278 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 730d | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,020 | +$263 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 730d | MAGA 2+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 730d | Kamala 25+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 730d | Turning Point | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$16 −1.0% | — | |
| 730d | Turning Point | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,525 | +$118 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 730d | Border 30+ times | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — | |
| 730d | Border 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 730d | paulyd7- | Border 20+ times | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$90 −8.5% | — |
| 730d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,473 | +$234 +2.2% | 20 | |
| 730d | Border 20+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$83 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 730d | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,580 | +$175 +3.8% | 20 | |
| 730d | Abermix | MAGA 2+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,093 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 730d | ChicagoIL | Tren de Aragua | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$128 −11% | — |
| 730d | Border 30+ times | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $2,009 | −$2,009 −100% | 21 | |
| 730d | Tampon | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$168 +7.7% | 20 | |
| 730d | rtdream | Border 30+ times | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $3,146 | −$3,146 −100% | 22 |
| 730d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,526 | +$79 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 730d | Turning Point | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 | |
| 730d | dotaa555 | Cheat | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $9,520 | +$18,480 +194% | 27 |
| 730d | dotaa555 | Border 20+ times | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $4,544 | −$4,544 −100% | 29 |
| 730d | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$1,152 +86% | 20 | |
| 730d | Border 20+ times | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,160 | +$563 +18% | 25 | |
| 730d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,381 | +$112 +3.3% | 20 | |
| 730d | Border 30+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$848 +69% | 20 | |
| 730d | INSSS | God 3+ times | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 20 |
| 730d | Ester | Rogan | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $3,190 | −$3,190 −100% | 25 |
| 730d | Ester | Pocahontas | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 20 |
| 730d | Ester | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $7,140 | +$3,060 +43% | 20 |
| 730d | 05566 | Rogan | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $6,660 | +$2,340 +35% | 20 |
| 730d | MATICC | Trans | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $14,903 | +$1,122 +7.5% | 20 |
| 730d | MATICC | Frack/Fracking | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,680 | +$1,320 +12% | 20 |
| 730d | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,334 | −$1,334 −100% | 20 | |
| 730d | pollyy-803 | Kamala 25+ times | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$452 +37% | 20 |
| 730d | SKS- | Vote 15+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 730d | youtube | Vote 15+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 20 |
| 731d | Ksjtta | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,408 | +$1,408 +100% | — |
| 731d | Ksjt | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | +$1,408 +79% | 20 |
| 731d | Ksjt | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,628 | +$1,628 +100% | — |
| 731d | Ksjtta | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,072 | +$1,628 +79% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Duluth, Georgia on October 23.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Vote 15+ times means the market gives it about 100%.