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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 20+ times | 100% | +49 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +53 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake Jobs | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | −86 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rogan | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 7+ times | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Peanut/Squirrel | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Gun 5+ times | 100% | +37 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 4+ times | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 25+ times | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome/TDS | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dark MAGA | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Michigan 20+ times | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Reagan | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | Hell 20+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,600 | +$315 +3.3% | 20 | |
| 718d | Dark MAGA | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 718d | Hell 20+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$160 +6.5% | 20 | |
| 718d | Border 30+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 718d | 324234 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,827 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d | China 7+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 718d | God 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,928 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 718d | McDonald's | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$35 +3.0% | 20 | |
| 718d | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$49 +2.5% | 20 | |
| 718d | Ordon | Border 20+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | +$51 +3.5% | 20 |
| 718d | P0LL | Missile Defense Shield | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,608 | −$2,608 −100% | 20 |
| 718d | 3242342 fills | Fake Jobs | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,360 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d | RobertRed | Fake Jobs | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d | Fake Jobs | SellYes>99¢ | $5,081 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 718d | Ordon3 fills | China 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,455 | +$45 +1.0% | 20 |
| 718d | Border 30+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,442 | +$461 +4.0% | 21 | |
| 718d | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 718d | Pocahontas | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$155 +11% | 20 | |
| 718d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,383 | +$335 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 718d | Trans | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$188 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 718d | Rockies | Rogan | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$178 +18% | 20 |
| 718d | Tampon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,203 | +$213 +3.4% | 21 | |
| 718d | EscalateFund3 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,927 | +$328 +1.9% | 20 |
| 718d | Rogan | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$222 +8.9% | 20 | |
| 718d | Trans | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,615 | +$195 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 718d | shouldbealright | China 7+ times | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,854 | +$590 +21% | 20 |
| 718d | Mr.MYX | Border 30+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$46 +3.9% | 20 |
| 718d | hi4m | Dark MAGA | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$132 +13% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting terms used by Trump during his rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan scheduled for November 4, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.