Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monroe / Donroe | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New York | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ottoman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Proclamation | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Golden Age | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Freedom or Death | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friend of mine | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greek / Greece / Hellenic 20+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Autopen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimberly / Guilfoyle | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Job 8+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Orthodox | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Culture / Heritage | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211d | polybettor | Monroe / Donroe | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 211d | New York | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$33 +3.2% | 20 | |
| 211d | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,989 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 211d | madinakiing | Monroe / Donroe | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $4,099 | −$4,099 −100% | 20 |
| 212d | fireplaceaaron | New York | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,428 | −$1,428 −100% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating Greek Independence Day on March 26, 2026 (https://www.thenationalherald.com/fr-alexender-karloutsos-explains-to-tnh-about-the-white-house-25th-of-march-event/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Monroe / Donroe means the market gives it about 0%.