Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anti-Semitic / Anti-Semitism | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Crypto | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jew / Jewish 10+ times | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 7+ times | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden / Obama | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran / Nuclear 5+ times | 100% | +65 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Bibi | 100% | +47 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Merry Christmas | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thank / Please 20+ times | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful 5+ times | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nazi / Holocaust | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jerusalem | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hero / Patriot | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Ivanka / Jared | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Board of Peace | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Howard / Witkoff | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bible / Pastor | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Dark Cloud | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311d | numeroo | Iran / Nuclear 5+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 311d | 0xB29304109238401 | Nazi / Holocaust | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$39 +3.9% | 20 |
| 311d | 0x3dA304b247F16E | AI / Crypto | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$185 +13% | 20 |
| 311d | EscalateFund | AI / Crypto | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,049 | +$351 +12% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Hanukkah Reception" in Washington on December 16, 2025, 8:15PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in a Hanukkah Reception" on December 16, 2025, 8:15PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Anti-Semitic / Anti-Semitism means the market gives it about 100%.