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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obama | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| El Salvador | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell 10+ times | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hoax | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zelenskyy | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Loan | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe / Biden 7+ times | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Egg | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 7+ times | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Deport | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NAFTA | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Not allowed to say | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| History of the world | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542d |  0xCarneyAsada | Bitcoin / Crypto | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | +$355 +12% | 20 |
| 542d | pantomime | Bitcoin / Crypto | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$603 +33% | 20 |
| 543d | Yomel | Border 15+ times | SellYes43¢ → 100¢ | $11,557 | −$15,320 −133% | — |
| 543d | Yomel | Border 15+ times | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $11,579 | +$15,348 +133% | 33 |
| 543d | Jephyr | El Salvador | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $14,742 | +$14,742 +100% | — |
| 543d | Daelin | El Salvador | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $16,938 | +$14,428 +85% | 28 |
| 544d | Celvith | Obama | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $17,642 | −$18,362 −104% | — |
| 544d | Tyranis | Obama | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $18,363 | −$18,363 −100% | 25 |
| 544d | Mavric | Hoax | SellYes52¢ → 0¢ | $20,719 | +$20,719 +100% | — |
| 544d | Tyranis | Hoax | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $19,524 | +$20,321 +104% | 26 |
| 544d | Qindrel3 | El Salvador | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $17,191 | −$13,507 −79% | — |
| 544d | Zareph | El Salvador | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $13,815 | −$13,815 −100% | 27 |
| 545d | Froxira | El Salvador | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $12,458 | +$12,458 +100% | — |
| 545d | Quinvel | Loan | SellNo33¢ → 0¢ | $11,390 | +$11,390 +100% | — |
| 545d | Froxira | El Salvador | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $12,763 | −$12,763 −100% | 29 |
| 545d | Deyloris | Loan | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $22,782 | +$11,736 +52% | 25 |
| 545d | Illanox | Hell 10+ times | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $17,591 | −$13,821 −79% | — |
| 545d | Illanox | Hell 10+ times | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $17,327 | +$14,177 +82% | 25 |
| 546d | Uvren | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $11,518 | +$11,518 +100% | — |
| 546d | Wynloris | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $22,699 | +$11,180 +49% | 22 |
| 546d | Wynloris | Obama | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $22,591 | +$22,591 +100% | — |
| 546d | Uvren | Zelenskyy | SellNo41¢ → 100¢ | $12,556 | −$18,069 −144% | — |
| 546d | Brexenor | Obama | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $39,077 | +$21,981 +56% | 22 |
| 546d | Brethas | Zelenskyy | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $18,376 | −$18,376 −100% | 22 |
| 547d | Myrthos | Elon | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $18,107 | −$13,660 −75% | — |
| 547d | 1Lunith | Elon | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $14,613 | −$14,613 −100% | 24 |
| 547d | Azren | Border 15+ times | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $22,838 | −$37,261 −163% | — |
| 547d | Zoren | Border 15+ times | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $37,863 | −$37,863 −100% | 22 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a rally commemorating his 100th day in office in Michigan on April 29, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-mark-100th-day-office-031557423.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the main speech Trump gives at the named rally. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Obama means the market gives it about 0%.