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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 7+ times | 100% | −7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President Xi | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill baby drill | 100% | −14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nvidia | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful coal / Clean coal | 100% | −8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell 2+ times | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genius | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Big beautiful bill | 100% | −28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| OpenAI | 100% | −4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457d |  JaidenAnimations | Nvidia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,421 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 457d | LBZone | Drill baby drill | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,276 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d | LBZone | China 7+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d | LBZone | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d |  AgricultureSecretary | Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,891 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d | AgricultureSecretary | President Xi | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,015 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d | AgricultureSecretary | Big beautiful bill | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,378 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d |  M19284 | Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,332 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 457d |  noreasapa | Hell 2+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,557 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d | noreasapa | China 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$16 +1.4% | 20 |
| 457d |  Naichli | Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$269 +24% | 20 |
| 457d | AgricultureSecretary | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,557 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 457d |  MBB3 | AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$20 +1.3% | 20 |
| 458d |  Parz1vaI | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | — |
| 458d | Naichli | AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$101 +7.6% | 22 |
| 459d |  betwick | President Xi | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$695 +60% | 25 |
JohnCenaLover1,759 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech about Artificial Intelligence on July 23 (see https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-15/trump-set-to-outline-ai-priorities-in-speech-asserting-us-edge). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event about AI. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.