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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 5+ times | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $28.3K | ended |
| Hell 15+ times | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2.99K | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $2.77K | ended |
| Data Center | 0% | −30 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $1.47K | ended |
| Transgender 5+ times | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.4K | ended |
| Hormuz / Blockade | 100% | +52 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $1.2K | ended |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $1.15K | ended |
| Ass | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $1.09K | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 1¢ | $954 | ended |
| Fish / Fisher / Fishing | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · 1¢ | $927 | ended |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · 1¢ | $714 | ended |
| Iran 5+ times | 100% | +39 pts | — | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | $609 | ended |
| Filibuster | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $543 | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $505 | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $497 | ended |
| Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $439 | ended |
| Tariff 6+ times | 100% | +41 pts | — | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | $334 | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $318 | ended |
| Crime / Criminal 5+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $300 | ended |
| Mar-a-Lago / Golf | 100% | +41 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | $262 | ended |
| Jacksonville | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 1¢ | $228 | ended |
| Space / Moon | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $130 | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $108 | ended |
| Veteran | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $10 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h |  tbyck3 fills | Democrat 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,379 | +$36 +0.4% | 20 |
| 18h | polybettor | Democrat 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,035 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a954,908 shares
BBX1GbDS0123,975 shares
SloppyDonny174 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida on October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-fort-myers-fl-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Florida on October 23, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Democrat 5+ times means the market gives it about 100%.