Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | +5 pts | — | — · 25¢ | — | ended |
| Abraham Accords | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · 99¢ | — | ended |
| Hormuz | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Burnham | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 98¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| European Union / EU | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · 98¢ | — | ended |
| Zelensky | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 23¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Stock Market | 100% | — | — | 11¢ · 100¢ (89¢) | — | ended |
| Drone / Torpedo | 100% | — | — | 8¢ · 100¢ (92¢) | — | ended |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | 100% | — | — | 7¢ · 100¢ (93¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | Ceasefire | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 30d | Hormuz | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,063 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 31d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,337 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in various United Nations meetings and events on September 22, 2026, excluding any remarks made during his address to the United Nations General Assembly. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during any such United Nations meeting or event between market creation and September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, excluding remarks made during his address to the United Nations General Assembly. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during United Nations meetings or events on September 22, 2026, other than his address to the United Nations General Assembly. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of a qualifying United Nations meeting or event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If no qualifying United Nations meeting or event occurs, or none is available, by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event(s). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for -No Qualifying Event- means the market gives it about 0%.