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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Texas | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oracle | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| OpenAI | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Altman | 100% | — | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ellison | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| TikTok | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Energy 5+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640d |  VegemiteLover2 | AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 640d |  AgricultureSecretary | Elon Musk | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$51 +3.0% | 20 |
| 640d | AgricultureSecretary | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,024 | +$42 +1.0% | 20 |
| 640d |  noreasapa | Texas | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$191 +8.8% | 20 |
| 640d |  thetheead | AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 640d |  Axios2 fills | AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$170 +6.8% | 20 |
| 640d |  truthteller | AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$627 +33% | 20 |
| 640d |  TheGuro | AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 20 |
| 640d | thetheead | AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$611 +58% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his upcoming infrastructure announcement.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for AI/Artificial Intelligence 7+ times means the market gives it about 100%.