Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| War 15+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 4+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 5+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World War 3 | 0% | — | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear 2+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine | 0% | — | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| President Xi | 0% | — | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Beautiful Woman | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Eight Wars | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kim Jong-Un | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hiroshima / Nagasaki | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Midnight Hammer | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361d | Beautiful Woman | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,206 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 361d | Kim Jong-Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,178 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 361d | World War 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 361d | War 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,394 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 361d | World War 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,141 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 361d | Hottest | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,070 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 361d | War 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,139 | +$61 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 361d | Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,374 | +$44 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 361d | Eight Wars | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,103 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 361d | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 361d | takeme2themoon | Tariff 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,974 | +$30 +0.2% | 20 |
| 361d | HPlion | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,086 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 361d | Tariff 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,555 | +$52 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 361d | takeme2themoon | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,300 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 361d | takeme2themoon | Nuclear 2+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,985 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 361d | Unselfish-Rations | President Xi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,933 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 361d | takeme2themoon | Hottest | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,973 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 361d | Michael5289 | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 361d | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,602 | +$135 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 361d | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 361d | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,258 | +$232 +1.8% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a in a Troop Visit and Remarks on the USS George Washington on October 28, 2025, at 2:45 AM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in a Troop Visit and Remarks on the USS George Washington" on October 28, 2025, at 2:45 AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for War 15+ times means the market gives it about 100%.