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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mars | 0% | −84 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 30+ times | 100% | +62 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia 5+ times | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 0% | −77 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reno | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NAFTA | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 5+ times | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 35+ times | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| American Dream 3+ times | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 10+ times | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hispanic 3+ times | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 100% | +29 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Frack/Fracking 3+ times | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weave | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| COVID | 100% | +67 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Korea | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 729d |  Merlot | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 729d |  Anon1792681 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,562 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 729d | Anon1792681 | Mars | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 729d |  carp | Mars | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 729d | carp3 fills | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,431 | +$199 +3.1% | 20 |
| 729d | 881112 | Mars | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 729d |  Parz1vaI | Trans | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,562 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 729d | rumtumtugger | Trans | SellYes>99¢ | $1,076 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 729d |  Asherwow | Border 25+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 729d | Cabals | Mars | SellNo>99¢ | $3,173 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 729d | Bennybenassi | Tampon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 729d | Anon1792681 | American Dream 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,583 | +$117 +1.0% | 20 |
| 729d |  LuvanB | Mars | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | −$635 −36% | — |
| 729d |  GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix | Border 25+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $2,178 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 729d |  aldynspeedruns | Tax 30+ times | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | −$180 −6.4% | — |
| 729d | Puny-HostNew account | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 32 |
| 729d | Flowery-Self | Tax 30+ times | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,821 | −$272 −5.6% | — |
| 729d |  Lisbon333 | Tampon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 729d | FatFinger | Mars | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$113 −9.9% | — |
| 729d | Pythia | Tax 30+ times | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$38 −2.7% | — |
| 729d |  Dropper | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,687 | +$76 +1.3% | 20 |
| 729d |  Milktoast | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 729d | VPenguin | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | +$56 +2.2% | 20 |
| 729d | LiqProv0x3e3DE8538d11cB39FDcCD60F2591cd... | Trans | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $3,183 | −$3,183 −100% | 20 |
| 729d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Border 25+ times | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | +$1,173 +100% | — |
| 729d |  SiO2 | Border 25+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$755 +35% | 20 |
| 729d | 0xf5c4cf572be0826d8dd770d09e835149b204e86 | Frack/Fracking 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,272 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 729d |  Axios | Frack/Fracking 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$18 +1.4% | 20 |
| 729d | Axios2 fills | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,357 | +$44 +1.0% | 20 |
| 729d | Anon1792681 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,837 | +$163 +2.8% | 20 |
| 729d | ssxeet | Kamala 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,038 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 729d | BiggieSols-466 | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,374 | −$2,374 −100% | 20 |
| 729d |  Mr-Yolos2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,260 | +$210 +4.0% | 21 |
| 729d | Mr-Yolos | Tampon | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$74 +6.5% | 20 |
| 729d |  ARudeEgg2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | +$104 +4.6% | 20 |
| 729d | markusPi | Hispanic 3+ times | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$1,328 +127% | 20 |
| 729d |  BFBB | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 |
| 729d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | +$124 +4.7% | 21 |
| 729d |  Secret14thKey | Mars | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $13,914 | −$13,914 −100% | 20 |
| 729d |  vocifer | Mars | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 20 |
| 729d | rumtumtugger | Trans | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 20 |
| 729d | mr.ozi4 fills | Mars | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $8,975 | −$8,975 −100% | 24 |
| 730d | blockma | Trans | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $10,074 | +$876 +8.7% | 20 |
| 730d | ZenZone | Russia 5+ times | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 21 |
| 730d | blockma | Reno | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,537 | −$1,537 −100% | 22 |
| 730d | blockma | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $7,810 | +$3,190 +41% | 20 |
| 730d | blockma | Pocahontas | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$495 +18% | 20 |
| 730d | blockma | NAFTA | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | +$1,560 +64% | 20 |
| 730d | MR.Wuming | NAFTA | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $2,184 | −$2,184 −100% | 21 |
| 730d | SparkleGem | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,295 | +$2,805 +122% | 21 |
| 730d | SparkleGem | Border 25+ times | BuyNo28¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$3,816 +257% | 22 |
| 730d | InfiniteIris | Reno | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,763 | +$1,537 +41% | 20 |
| 730d | InfiniteIris | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $3,068 | −$3,068 −100% | 20 |
| 730d |  Eridpnc | American Dream 3+ times | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$997 −99% | — |
| 730d | WigglyWaffles | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$86 +4.0% | 20 |
| 730d | WigglyWaffles | Kamala 10+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$48 +4.2% | 20 |
| 730d | ChicagoIL | Trans | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$61 +5.4% | 20 |
| 730d | Will69 | American Dream 3+ times | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$2,400 +92% | 20 |
| 730d | Will69 | Russia 5+ times | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,760 | −$2,760 −100% | 21 |
| 730d | Will69 | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$1,265 +122% | 20 |
This is a market group on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Las Vegas, Nevada on October 24, at 7:00 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Mars means the market gives it about 0%.