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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Communism | 100% | +45 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marxist | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zelenskyy | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bitcoin | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Illegal immigration | 0% | −72 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +44 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Civil war | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Censorship | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| IVF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780d | professorx | Crypto | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,652 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | professorx | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | Illegal immigration | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,829 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,043 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | Abortion | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,191 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,301 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 780d | professorx | AI | BuyNo100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 780d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,070 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | moonnft | AI | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 780d | moonnft | Crypto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | professorx | Marxist | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,095 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | professorx | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,472 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | rauleZ | Illegal immigration | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,268 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | professorx | Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,806 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | professorx | Israel | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,361 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | polyswiss | Illegal immigration | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,131 | +$26 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 780d | Marxist | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,771 | +$40 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 780d | Garovitop | Illegal immigration | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,028 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,636 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 780d | Prazdno | Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,055 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 780d | sanchobb | Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,077 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | rauleZ | Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,266 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 780d | Crypto | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 780d | lemanma | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,194 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d | anon1565 | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,788 | +$109 +1.0% | 20 |
| 780d | anon1565 | Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,098 | +$72 +1.0% | 20 |
| 780d | mirkod | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 780d | anon1565 | Illegal immigration | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,719 | +$100 +1.0% | 20 |
| 780d | anon1565 | Censorship | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,656 | +$144 +3.1% | 20 |
| 780d | anon1565 | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 780d | anon15652 fills | Ceasefire | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,246 | +$617 +9.9% | 20 |
| 780d | Abortion | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,941 | +$122 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | Putin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 780d | professorx | Communism | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,607 | +$77 +1.0% | 20 |
| 780d | Putin | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,651 | +$407 +2.8% | 20 | |
| 780d | Communism | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,707 | +$285 +3.3% | 20 | |
| 780d | polywannacracker | Illegal immigration | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$171 +4.3% | 20 |
| 780d | Abortion | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$200 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 780d | Civil war | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$62 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | Israel | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,252 | +$70 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | polywannacracker | Israel | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$388 +3.9% | 20 |
| 780d | nonum | Abortion | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 20 |
| 780d | Marxist | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | +$150 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 780d | Marxist | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 780d | Marxist | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,797 | +$436 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 780d | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | +$144 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 780d | oPushinPchegou | Marxist | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$89 +7.5% | 20 |
| 780d | Crypto | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$90 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 780d | Bitcoin | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | +$107 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 780d | Zelenskyy | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,721 | +$429 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 780d | Communism | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 20 | |
| 780d | Communism | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | +$360 +9.9% | 20 | |
| 780d | Marxist | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$376 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 780d | IndoMania102 fills | Communism | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $6,378 | +$1,241 +19% | 20 |
| 780d | nonum | Illegal immigration | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$29 +1.4% | 20 |
| 780d | kingfisher5 fills | Illegal immigration | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $18,791 | +$2,518 +13% | 20 |
| 780d | kingfisher2 fills | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $11,057 | +$1,843 +17% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his interview with Lex Friedman.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Putin means the market gives it about 100%.