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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 25+ times | 0% | −81 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Peanut/Squirrel | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −68 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rig/Rigged | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | +82 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 100% | +75 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Epstein | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Garbage | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| IQ | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Voter ID | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unrealized | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 10+ times | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,321 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d |  Eridpnc | Border 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 719d |  AgricultureSecretary | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,713 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | grappli | Barack Hussein Obama | SellYes>99¢ | $1,285 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 719d |  Infringe | Kamala 25+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 719d | AgricultureSecretary | Epstein | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,574 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d |  Mr.Lovegood | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 719d |  neetbets | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$352 +30% | 20 |
| 719d |  Anon1792681 | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,624 | +$282 +7.8% | 20 |
| 719d |  Mr-Yolos8 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,348 | +$224 +1.7% | 20 |
| 719d | Ordon | Elon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$21 +2.1% | 20 |
| 719d | poptree | Saudi Arabia | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,531 | +$111 +4.4% | 20 |
| 719d | BigFatO | Garbage | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$157 +15% | 20 |
| 719d | rumtumtugger | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$73 +6.4% | 20 |
| 720d | Mr-Yolos | Border 30+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$152 +11% | 23 |
This is a market on predicting the content of Trump's statements at the Macon, GA rally.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.