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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US / United States 7+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France 15+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zelensky | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cathedral | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine 10+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Climate | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard / Arnault | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine 20+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gaza | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Martial Law | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606d |  Anon1792681 | US / United States 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$30 +1.5% | 20 |
| 606d | Anon1792681 | Cathedral | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,092 | +$39 +1.8% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with French president Emmanuel Macron on February 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET (https://www.c-span.org/event/white-house-event/pres-trump-french-pres-macron-hold-news-conference/431203). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for NATO means the market gives it about 0%.