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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax cut | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trudeau | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canada | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d | VvVv | Kamala | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,629 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 654d |  Dropper | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 654d |  noreasapa | McDonald's | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,241 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 654d |  JohannesWalterReich | MAGA | SellYes>99¢ | $1,120 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 654d | Gamblrx312 fills | MAGA | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $90,882 | +$3,130 +3.4% | 20 |
| 654d |  AgricultureSecretary | MAGA | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,364 | +$124 +5.3% | 20 |
| 654d |  Axios10 fills | MAGA | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $44,563 | +$1,594 +3.6% | 20 |
| 654d |  lranon | MAGA | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,506 | −$1,153 −33% | — |
| 654d | lranon2 fills | MAGA | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,546 | +$114 +2.5% | 20 |
| 654d | Axios | Biden | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$171 +16% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during a press conference at Mar-a-Lago.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for MAGA means the market gives it about 100%.