Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mexico / Mexican 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thank you / Please 13+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| War 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Somali / Somalia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mental Institution | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell 2+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Texas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drug Boat | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kash / FBI | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ballroom | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313d | Tren de Aragua | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$11 +1.1% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Mexican Border Defense Medal Presentation" in Washington on December 15, 2025, 3PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in a Mexican Border Defense Medal Presentation" on December 15, 2025, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Border 7+ times means the market gives it about 100%.