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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China 10+ times | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon 5+ times | 0% | −71 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| American Dream 3+ times | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 20+ times | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Women's Sports | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ford | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Death Penalty | 0% | −89 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hitler | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Frack/Fracking 4+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Detroit | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Wall Street | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NAFTA | 100% | +58 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mexico 5+ times | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Beach | 0% | −51 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GM/General Motors | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| North Carolina 5+ times | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728d | Distinct-BrownieNew account | Death Penalty | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | −$384 −27% | — |
| 728d |  Axios | American Dream 3+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$25 +1.8% | 20 |
| 728d |  BlackSky123 | McDonald's | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 728d | Axios | Pocahontas | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$60 +3.7% | 20 |
| 728d | Axios | NAFTA | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$61 +4.6% | 20 |
| 728d | StudentMoney | Trans | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,081 | +$219 +10% | 20 |
| 728d |  Asherwow | Border 25+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,790 | +$643 +36% | 20 |
| 728d |  syncope | China 10+ times | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | +$2,629 +100% | 20 |
| 728d | lug | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | +$77 +3.4% | 20 |
| 728d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Pocahontas | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | −$275 −22% | — |
| 728d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,154 | +$114 +3.6% | 20 |
| 728d |  JanSobieski3 | NAFTA | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$707 +67% | 20 |
| 728d |  mr.ozi | Hitler | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$168 +16% | 20 |
| 728d | Roger2024 | Border 30+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$198 +18% | 20 |
| 729d | JanSobieski3 | Women's Sports | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$108 +8.7% | 23 |
| 729d | dsbyasd | American Dream 3+ times | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,617 | +$1,617 +100% | — |
| 729d | dsbyasd | American Dream 3+ times | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | +$1,617 +96% | 30 |
| 729d |  Skankhunt42. | Hitler | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,846 | +$390 +14% | 24 |
| 729d | dfsiubf | American Dream 3+ times | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,715 | −$1,785 −104% | — |
| 729d | sfjiojiose | American Dream 3+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,785 | −$1,785 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | sfjiojiose | American Dream 3+ times | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,715 | −$1,785 −104% | — |
| 729d | dfsiubf | American Dream 3+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,785 | −$1,785 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | sfjiojiose | Elon 5+ times | SellNo32¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$2,380 −213% | — |
| 729d | dfsiubf | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $2,380 | −$2,380 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | dfsiubf | Elon 5+ times | SellNo32¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$2,380 −213% | — |
| 729d | sfjiojiose | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $2,380 | −$2,380 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | sdsafasd | American Dream 3+ times | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,645 | +$1,645 +100% | — |
| 729d | frasfsa | American Dream 3+ times | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,855 | +$1,645 +89% | 30 |
| 729d | frasfsa | American Dream 3+ times | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,645 | +$1,645 +100% | — |
| 729d | sdsafasd | American Dream 3+ times | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,855 | +$1,645 +89% | 30 |
| 729d | sdsafasd | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | frasfsa | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 30 |
| 729d | frasfsa | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | sdsafasd | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 30 |
| 729d | wsafdas | Elon 5+ times | SellNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$2,310 −194% | — |
| 729d | sdsadas | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | sdsadas | Elon 5+ times | SellNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$2,310 −194% | — |
| 729d | wsafdas | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | wsafdas | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | sdsadas | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 30 |
| 729d | sdsadas | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | wsafdas | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 30 |
| 729d | edfes | Elon 5+ times | SellNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$2,310 −194% | — |
| 729d | dsfesf | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | dsfesf | Elon 5+ times | SellNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$2,310 −194% | — |
| 729d | edfes | Elon 5+ times | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 30 |
| 729d | edfes | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | dsfesf | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 30 |
| 729d | dsfesf | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | edfes | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$800 +47% | 30 |
| 729d | hdfgfgs | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | vcefe | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 30 |
| 729d | vcefe | China 10+ times | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 729d | hdfgfgs | China 10+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$1,120 +47% | 30 |
VFALL20 sharesThis is a market group on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Traverse City, Nevada on October 25, at 7:30 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China 10+ times means the market gives it about 100%.