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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 25+ times | 0% | −68 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Missile defense shield | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Illegal alien | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala | 100% | +45 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million 10+times | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Debate | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 100% | +54 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax Queen | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mentally Impaired/Disabled | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax 10+ times | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World War 3 | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Make America Affordable Again | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750d |  0xBama | Border 25+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 750d |  Dropper2 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,760 | +$151 +2.6% | 20 |
| 750d |  AgricultureSecretary | Border 25+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 750d |  Mr.Lovegood | Border 25+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$79 +4.2% | 20 |
| 750d |  Parz1vaI | Border 25+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$61 +5.3% | 20 |
| 750d | Rainiak | Border 25+ times | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,466 | −$50 −2.0% | — |
| 750d |  Axios | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$19 +1.6% | 20 |
| 750d | AgricultureSecretary | Tampon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$23 +1.8% | 20 |
| 750d |  Milktoast | Mentally Impaired/Disabled | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$26 +2.4% | 20 |
| 750d | Axios | Trans | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$24 +2.1% | 20 |
| 750d | Axios | Missile defense shield | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$148 +12% | 20 |
| 750d |  BustedCungly | Border 25+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | −$1,346 −100% | 20 |
| 750d | VvVv2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,115 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 750d | Bromeee | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,641 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 750d | Rainiak | Border 25+ times | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$741 +45% | 20 |
| 750d | Axios | Comrade Kamala | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | +$3,714 +163% | 22 |
| 750d | Unwitting-Hockey | Missile defense shield | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,263 | −$1,263 −100% | 21 |
| 750d | AgricultureSecretary | Illegal alien | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 |
| 750d | BobbyS112 | China 10+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 750d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Tax 10+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,284 | +$120 +5.3% | 20 |
| 750d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Tax Queen | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,311 | −$1,311 −100% | 21 |
| 750d | Axios | World War 3 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$51 +4.4% | 20 |
| 750d | Axios2 fills | Iran | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$667 +11% | 20 |
| 750d | TradeDeficitArchitect | Tax 10+ times | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$134 −11% | — |
| 750d |  McDonalds-Employee2 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyNo35¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | +$7,071 +188% | 24 |
| 750d | Axios | Illegal alien | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 750d | anon1565 | Tampon | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $8,848 | +$3,282 +37% | 20 |
| 750d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Border 15+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,690 | +$259 +5.5% | 20 |
| 750d | Axios2 fills | Debate | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,510 | +$787 +14% | 20 |
| 750d |  Ravenholdt | Border 25+ times | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 20 |
| 750d | TradeDeficitArchitect | China 10+ times | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,585 | −$1,585 −100% | 22 |
| 750d |  HaterzLoserz | Illegal alien | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,333 | −$1,333 −100% | 22 |
| 750d | georgejetson | Illegal alien | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $7,280 | +$901 +12% | 20 |
| 750d | BobbyS112 | China 10+ times | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,296 | −$1,296 −100% | 21 |
| 751d | McDonalds-Employee2 fills | Nuclear | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $11,256 | +$3,752 +33% | 20 |
| 751d | RedScarce | Tax 10+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$108 +8.7% | 20 |
| 751d | Ch5 | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $3,321 | +$4,590 +138% | 22 |
| 751d | georgejetson | Nuclear | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$375 +33% | 20 |
| 751d | Ch5 | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $5,385 | −$5,385 −100% | 20 |
| 751d | BustedCungly | Tampon | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,330 | −$1,330 −100% | 21 |
| 751d | ShyLOCKz | Tampon | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$1,064 +56% | 20 |
| 751d | lug | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | +$163 +5.7% | 20 |
| 751d | rookiee | Comrade Kamala | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$1,045 +96% | 20 |
| 751d | upolio | Illegal alien | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,026 +21% | 26 |
| 751d | EscalateFund2 fills | Tampon | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,811 | +$1,942 +40% | 28 |
| 751d | Ch5 | Tampon | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $5,503 | +$3,469 +63% | 28 |
| 751d | anon1565 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | +$171 +5.3% | 21 |
| 751d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Israel | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 21 |
| 751d | Bold-Evolution | Border 15+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | +$246 +7.5% | 22 |
| 751d | 0x84 | Border 25+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 28 |
| 751d |  JanSobieski3 | Border 25+ times | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$2,970 +194% | 29 |
| 751d | HaterzLoserz | Tampon | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,165 | −$1,165 −100% | 29 |
| 751d | c01283 | Border 25+ times | BuyNo33¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$3,655 +203% | 30 |
| 751d |  ANudeEgg | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | +$103 +5.6% | 21 |
| 752d |  BuckMySalls | China 10+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$572 +45% | 25 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during a town hall event in North Carolina.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Border 25+ times means the market gives it about 0%.