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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 10+ times | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Heaven | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catholic / Muslim | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful 3+ times | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Anti-christian | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pam / Bondi | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Radical Left | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Washington / DC | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DEI / Woke | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gun / Shooter | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Minnesota | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Bitcoin / Crypto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 410d |  AgricultureSecretary | Bitcoin / Crypto | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,974 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 410d |  Bertapotamous | God 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 410d |  BipBop | God 10+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$75 +4.5% | 20 |
| 411d |  iForgor | Hell | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,195 | −$1,195 −100% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the Museum of the Bible on Monday, September 8, 2025. (see: https://x.com/PressSec/status/1963664056663109748). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event at the Museum of the Bible. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Border means the market gives it about 0%.