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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obliterated | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran / Israel 15+ times | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Uranium | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bunker buster | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sanction | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO 15+ times | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear weapon | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine 5+ times | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace through strength | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Intelligence | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485d | LBZone | Sanction | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,833 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | LBZone | NATO 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,337 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d |  Debosnys | Uranium | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d |  noreasapa | NATO 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d | Debosnys | Elon | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,253 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | Debosnys | Sanction | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d |  TheGreekTraderPM | Elon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,349 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d | noreasapa | Iran / Israel 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,517 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Bunker buster | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,781 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | Debosnys | Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,704 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d |  AgricultureSecretary | Elon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | +$69 +2.4% | 21 |
| 485d |  Car | Elon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$90 +3.1% | 21 |
| 485d | Wonfo | Obliterated | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,550 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | LBZone | Bunker buster | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,962 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Bunker buster | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,082 | +$26 +1.2% | 20 |
| 485d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Obliterated | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 485d | TheWolfOfPoly | Obliterated | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,921 | +$79 +2.7% | 21 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at the NATO Summit taking place on June 25, 2025 (https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/21/trump-nato-defense-spending-00416118). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event where Trump delivers a speech at NATO Summit (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Biden means the market gives it about 100%.