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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel 7+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 10+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gaza 10+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran 3+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Terrorist | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Houthi | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Reciprocal | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell 3+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ICC / International Criminal Court | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jew / Jewish | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President Xi | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iron dome / Missile defense shield | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Holocaust | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Boom | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 565d |  Debosnys2 fills | Israel 7+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,201 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 565d | pkz | Tariff 10+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,051 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 565d |  414B | Tariff 10+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 565d |  BuckMySalls | Iran 3+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | −$1,187 −100% | 20 |
| 565d | BuckMySalls | Israel 7+ times | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $2,210 | −$2,210 −100% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral Meeting and Press Conference events on April 7, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Bilateral Meeting and Press Conference with the Prime Minister of the State of Israel events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of these scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Israel 7+ times means the market gives it about 100%.