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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Halloween | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax 20+ times | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| IQ | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Women's Sports | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 5+ times | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nevada 25+ times | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ times | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Teleprompter 3+ times | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| American dream 5+ times | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Melania | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Witch | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Snake | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springfield | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $3,028 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 722d | jhighland18 | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,914 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 722d |  Dropper | God 5+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 722d |  AgricultureSecretary | God 5+ times | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 20 |
| 722d | AgricultureSecretary | American dream 5+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$74 +3.1% | 20 |
| 722d | Lukyyyyyyy | American dream 5+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,851 | +$57 +3.1% | 20 |
| 722d |  Anon1792681 | McDonald's | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,455 | +$186 +4.2% | 20 |
| 722d |  Axios | Pocahontas | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$86 +4.3% | 20 |
| 722d |  syncope2 fills | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,308 | +$86 +2.0% | 20 |
| 722d | AgricultureSecretary | MAGA 4+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 722d | Dropper | MAGA 4+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | +$178 +8.0% | 20 |
| 722d | Loldjebe | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$196 +20% | 20 |
| 722d |  Parz1vaI | Nevada 25+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,164 | +$85 +2.0% | 20 |
| 722d |  Mr-Yolos4 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,828 | +$166 +2.1% | 20 |
| 722d | Roger2024 | Border 30+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$202 +11% | 20 |
| 722d | Rainiak | Border 20+ times | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,264 | +$941 +22% | 20 |
| 722d | lug | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,464 | +$200 +4.5% | 20 |
| 722d | OPMSucks | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$50 +4.4% | 20 |
| 722d |  Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$120 +4.2% | 20 |
| 722d | EscalateFund2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,588 | +$193 +2.9% | 21 |
| 722d | Mr-Yolos | Tampon | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$111 +7.8% | 20 |
| 722d | BrainrotStonks | Tariff 5+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,104 | −$1,104 −100% | 20 |
| 723d | jhighland182 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,254 | +$116 +3.6% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting terms used by Trump during his rally in Henderson, Nevada scheduled for October 31, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.
