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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 0% | −66 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 100% | +66 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Secret Service | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Golf | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fake News 3+ times | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pager | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FBI | 100% | +59 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Black Jobs | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA 5+ times | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rig/Rigged | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Deep State | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hispanic | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Underdog | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 765d | Bite-Sized-Tolerance | Border 25+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,280 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 765d |  AgricultureSecretary | Pager | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d | georgejetson | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $4,008 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 765d |  Slimedart | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 765d | Unknw | Border 25+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,132 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 765d | longtern | Secret Service | SellYes>99¢ | $1,083 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 765d |  05brownboy | Golf | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 765d |  TimeQuestion | Golf | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,609 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d |  MrNFT | Border 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,764 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d | Rainiak2 fills | Border 25+ times | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,562 | −$363 −8.0% | — |
| 765d |  Mr.Lovegood | Border 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,640 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 765d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Golf | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,621 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d |  BlackSky123 | Border 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,233 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 765d |  Bergerboi | Border 25+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 765d | BlackSky123 | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,233 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 765d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | +$131 +3.7% | 20 |
| 765d |  okalright | Golf | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 765d |  Anon5215 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,014 | +$131 +1.0% | 20 |
| 765d | DaKakuna | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 765d | ssxeet | Border 25+ times | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 765d | DaKakuna | MAGA 5+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 765d |  MLBksRETARD | Border 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,248 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 765d | semi | Border 25+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,747 | +$84 +3.0% | 20 |
| 765d | professorx | China 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,510 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d | lawfultots | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | +$64 +3.1% | 20 |
| 765d |  Axios | Ukraine | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$903 +77% | 20 |
| 765d | sOswa1d | Border 25+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 765d | Rainiak2 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,562 | +$312 +4.1% | 20 |
| 765d | Bergerboi | Border 25+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$71 +5.3% | 20 |
| 765d | Rainiak | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $3,773 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 765d | DaKakuna | Border 25+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,733 | +$267 +5.7% | 20 |
| 765d | shouldbealright | China 5+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 765d |  CookedAlligator | China 5+ times | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,195 | +$356 +16% | 20 |
| 765d | Unknw | Border 25+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$117 +11% | 20 |
| 765d |  fhantombets | China 5+ times | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$1,706 +100% | 20 |
| 765d | MandoCT | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | −$165 −8.5% | — |
| 765d | ssxeet | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,979 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 765d | Axios | Israel | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$48 +1.6% | 20 |
| 765d | EscalateFund | Ukraine | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $6,913 | −$6,913 −100% | 20 |
| 765d |  RMR316 | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,520 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 765d | polipleb | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,125 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 765d |  Finch | Israel | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$449 +45% | 20 |
| 765d | infinitiphantom2 fills | Border 15+ times | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,751 | −$417 −15% | — |
| 765d |  carp | Border 15+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$45 +4.3% | 20 |
| 765d |  g... | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,410 | −$383 −11% | — |
| 765d | Axios | Fake News 3+ times | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$137 +9.4% | 20 |
| 765d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Border 15+ times | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$2,207 +194% | 20 |
| 765d |  Mrmarket334 | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$197 −18% | — |
| 765d | Unknw2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $5,872 | −$5,872 −100% | 20 |
| 765d | anon1565 | Border 25+ times | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,548 | −$1,548 −100% | 20 |
| 765d | Unknw | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $6,861 | −$1,137 −17% | — |
| 765d | anon15652 fills | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $4,395 | +$2,361 +54% | 20 |
| 765d |  Parz1vaI | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,224 | −$1,224 −100% | 21 |
| 765d |  Glover | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$191 +16% | 20 |
| 765d | Unknw2 fills | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,713 | +$1,261 +22% | 20 |
| 765d | Xav | MAGA 5+ times | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 24 |
| 765d | Glover | Secret Service | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 765d | Mrmarket334 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$264 +25% | 20 |
| 765d | AgricultureSecretary | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 20 |
| 765d | Xav | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $5,623 | −$5,623 −100% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the content of Trump's speech at the Wednesday Uniondale rally.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Comrade Kamala 3+ times means the market gives it about 0%.