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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 30+ times | 0% | −58 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New York 30+ times | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 0% | −89 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World Trade Center | 0% | −68 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NYPD | 0% | −82 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 10+ times | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| COVID 2+ times | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Women's Sports | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Police 15+ times | 0% | −47 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 0% | −80 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Too Big To Rig 2+ times | 0% | −68 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russia 5+ times | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| God 5+ times | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Green New Scam 3+ times | 100% | +75 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726d | Tonyy10 | NYPD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,692 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 726d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,577 | +$19 +0.4% | 20 |
| 726d |  mr.ozi | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $4,160 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 726d |  BlackSky123 | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $2,250 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 726d |  LastChanceSaloon | Missile Defense Shield | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,678 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 726d |  neetbets | Missile Defense Shield | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,161 | +$85 +2.0% | 20 |
| 726d | rpo | Missile Defense Shield | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | +$39 +2.0% | 20 |
| 726d | 0m0 | Missile Defense Shield | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,097 | −$47 −1.2% | — |
| 726d |  PolyFi-662 | Inflation 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,214 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 726d | longtern | Missile Defense Shield | SellNo>99¢ | $1,845 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 726d | ooooos | Missile Defense Shield | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,815 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 726d |  Anon1792681 | Missile Defense Shield | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 726d | AgricultureSecretary | China 5+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,046 | +$128 +4.2% | 20 |
| 726d |  syncope | Missile Defense Shield | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$80 +6.6% | 20 |
| 726d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Missile Defense Shield | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,363 | +$534 +6.4% | 20 |
| 726d | DaKakuna | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 20 |
| 726d |  Axios2 fills | COVID 2+ times | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,045 | +$671 +22% | 20 |
| 726d | Axios | Pocahontas | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$185 +16% | 20 |
| 726d | Axios | Green New Scam 3+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$185 +14% | 20 |
| 726d | Axios | Inflation 10+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | +$121 +7.7% | 20 |
| 726d | Rainiak | Border 20+ times | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$2,577 +257% | 20 |
| 726d | Wevfd | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$496 +36% | 20 |
| 726d | OPMSucks | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$55 +4.6% | 20 |
| 726d | mr.ozi | Tampon | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$100 +7.4% | 20 |
| 726d | StudentMoney | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,127 | +$106 +5.0% | 20 |
| 726d | Bink_72 fills | New York 30+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $4,017 | +$3,882 +97% | 20 |
| 726d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Tampon | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$155 +10% | 20 |
| 726d |  JanSobieski3 | Missile Defense Shield | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | −$1,037 −100% | 20 |
| 726d | Itsj | New York 30+ times | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$1,381 +127% | 20 |
| 726d |  Asherwow | Border 30+ times | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,854 | +$520 +14% | 20 |
| 727d | accelerate | New York 30+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $2,493 | −$2,493 −100% | 20 |
| 727d |  Mr-Yolos5 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $23,460 | +$746 +3.2% | 21 |
| 727d |  g... | Trans | BuyNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 28 |
| 727d | JanSobieski3 | Trans | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,185 | +$315 +9.9% | 22 |
| 727d | JJJASON | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,923 | +$97 +3.3% | 21 |
| 727d | BiggieSols-466 | New York 30+ times | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$2,645 +89% | 28 |
| 727d | JanSobieski32 fills | Border 30+ times | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $3,694 | −$1,789 −48% | — |
| 727d |  Mrmarket334 | New York 30+ times | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 28 |
| 728d | Mr-Yolos | Tampon | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$118 +7.7% | 21 |
| 728d |  ARudeEgg2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,065 | +$214 +5.3% | 21 |
| 729d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | +$162 +6.4% | 21 |
| 730d | Wfdgfdg | New York 30+ times | SellNo35¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | −$2,275 −186% | — |
| 730d | Ggjgghf | New York 30+ times | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $2,205 | −$2,205 −100% | 22 |
| 730d | Ggjgghf | New York 30+ times | SellNo38¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | −$2,480 −163% | — |
| 730d | Ggjgghf | New York 30+ times | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$2,480 +163% | 23 |
| 730d | Ggjgghf | Border 30+ times | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | +$1,560 +100% | — |
| 730d | Wfdgfdg | Border 30+ times | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$1,755 +82% | 22 |
| 730d | Wfdgfdg | Border 30+ times | SellYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | +$1,800 +100% | — |
| 730d | Ggjgghf | Border 30+ times | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$1,800 +82% | 22 |
| 730d | dsfhhgdfjg | Tax 30+ times | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | +$2,450 +100% | — |
| 730d | dsfhhgdfjg | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | 22 |
| 730d | dsfhhgdfjg | Tax 30+ times | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | — |
| 730d | dsfhhgdfjg | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$2,450 +100% | 22 |
| 730d | Rturutyt | Tax 30+ times | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,789 | +$1,789 +100% | — |
| 730d | Wtujyi | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$1,789 +96% | 22 |
| 730d | Wtujyi | Tax 30+ times | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,764 | +$1,764 +100% | — |
| 730d | fdshfdh | Tax 30+ times | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | — |
| 730d | Rturutyt | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$1,764 +96% | 22 |
| 730d | fdshfdh | Tax 30+ times | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 22 |
| 730d | fdshfdh | Tax 30+ times | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | — |
This is a market group on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in New York, New York on October 27, at 5:00 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.