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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 25+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala 25+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Abortion | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| French fries | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile defense shield | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beach | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Green New Scam | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Teleprompter | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FEMA | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Women's sports | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Hurricane | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Starlink | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 732d | 1mperator17 | Border 25+ times | BuyYes100¢ | $2,287 | +$11 +0.5% | 20 |
| 732d | polyswiss | Teleprompter | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,502 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 733d | WigglyWaffles | Missile defense shield | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,437 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 733d |  Parz1vaI | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 733d |  AgricultureSecretary | French fries | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,065 | +$112 +1.0% | 20 |
| 733d | AgricultureSecretary | FEMA | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,074 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 |
| 733d |  Axios | Women's sports | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$41 +3.5% | 20 |
| 733d | AgricultureSecretary | Border 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,862 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 733d | EUROPA-751 | Teleprompter | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$70 +6.4% | 20 |
| 733d | weeeee | Missile defense shield | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | −$1,135 −100% | 20 |
| 733d |  syncope | Kamala 25+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,899 | +$100 +1.0% | 20 |
| 733d |  JohannesWalterReich | Kamala 25+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$65 +5.9% | 20 |
| 733d | Axios9 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $21,398 | +$617 +2.9% | 20 |
| 733d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Missile defense shield | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,027 | +$493 +16% | 20 |
| 733d |  Anon17926812 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,370 | +$54 +1.0% | 20 |
| 733d | Axios2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,005 | +$55 +1.1% | 20 |
| 733d | JpY | Beach | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 733d | Axios3 fills | Green New Scam | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,507 | +$90 +1.2% | 20 |
| 733d | Anon1792681 | Green New Scam | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 733d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Border 15+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | +$108 +6.4% | 20 |
| 733d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$45 +3.5% | 20 |
| 733d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Starlink | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | +$181 +13% | 20 |
| 733d |  Mr.Lovegood | McDonald's | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,059 | +$175 +4.3% | 20 |
| 733d | Chad-Wasp | French fries | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,479 | −$1,479 −100% | 20 |
| 733d |  cashnweed | Kamala 25+ times | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,334 | −$1,334 −100% | 20 |
| 733d |  mr.ozi | Abortion | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$226 +22% | 20 |
| 733d | Supernumber | Kamala 25+ times | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,295 | −$1,295 −100% | 20 |
| 733d | mr.ozi | Missile defense shield | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$117 +11% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements and topics addressed by Trump at his North Carolina rally.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Border 25+ times means the market gives it about 100%.