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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China 10+ times | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 25+ times | 0% | −80 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Energy 10+ times | 0% | −82 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| AI | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 0% | −77 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 10+ times | 0% | −74 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Reagan | 0% | −80 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin 2+ times | 100% | +53 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 10+ times | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liquid Gold | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NAFTA | 100% | +80 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 758d | dylanow | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,303 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | Kng47 | Energy 10+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 758d | ParthMehta | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,599 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,198 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 758d | moonnft | Energy 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,035 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d |  Anon52152 fills | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,348 | +$38 +0.2% | 20 |
| 758d |  carp2 fills | China 10+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $10,375 | −$45 −0.4% | — |
| 758d | gillerberry | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,252 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | freedays | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,733 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | jodiebrook | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,122 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | aras | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,790 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 758d |  MeNoDatNutReelMuni | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 758d |  AlastorOrion | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,029 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 758d | Anon5215 | Energy 10+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $2,240 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 758d | Anon5215 | Border 25+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $6,778 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 758d | Anon5215 | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | Gatito | Border 25+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 758d | Anon52152 fills | Border 25+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,653 | +$401 +6.0% | 20 |
| 758d |  Dropper | China 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,691 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 758d |  Mr.Lovegood | China 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,137 | +$41 +0.8% | 20 |
| 758d | Mr.Lovegood | Border 25+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,743 | +$78 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Border 25+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 758d | Sanity | China 10+ times | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | −$208 −9.9% | — |
| 758d | Chad-Wasp | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | anon1565 | China 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,275 | +$225 +2.2% | 20 |
| 758d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Drill Baby Drill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,327 | +$24 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d | Anon5215 | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d | Anon5215 | Energy 10+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,890 | +$59 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d | Anon5215 | Inflation 10+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,291 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d | carp | Border 25+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d | Chad-Wasp | China 10+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,541 | −$52 −2.0% | — |
| 758d |  Wloczega2 fills | Energy 10+ times | SellNo45¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | −$3,117 −124% | — |
| 758d | carp | China 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 758d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Energy 10+ times | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $6,294 | +$4,967 +79% | 20 |
| 758d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Million 10+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,671 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 758d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | China 10+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $5,106 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 758d |  Axios | Putin 2+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$219 +8.7% | 20 |
| 758d | Axios | Liquid Gold | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | +$150 +7.4% | 20 |
| 758d |  BuckMySalls | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$559 +41% | 20 |
| 758d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Million 10+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$78 +3.9% | 20 |
| 758d | Axios | AI | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$161 +5.4% | 20 |
| 758d | DarkZuckerberg - 283873 fills | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $4,340 | +$1,890 +44% | 20 |
| 758d | Axios | NAFTA | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$6,009 +200% | 23 |
| 758d | BuckMySalls | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellYes42¢ → 0¢ | $2,436 | +$2,436 +100% | — |
| 758d | anon1565 | China 10+ times | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $2,838 | −$2,838 −100% | 27 |
| 758d | semi | MAGA 4+ times | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,342 | −$1,342 −100% | 22 |
| 758d |  Mr-Yolos | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,818 | +$409 +4.2% | 20 |
| 758d | Miracle007 | China 10+ times | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | −$271 −16% | — |
| 758d | Ch52 fills | AI | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $8,465 | +$8,648 +102% | 20 |
| 758d | Sanity | Inflation 10+ times | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,524 | −$1,524 −100% | 20 |
| 758d | Sanity | China 10+ times | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,054 | +$254 +12% | 20 |
| 758d | Wloczega | Putin 2+ times | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | +$1,022 +100% | — |
| 759d |  Mrmarket3342 fills | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $7,299 | −$7,299 −100% | 20 |
| 759d | Miracle007 | Inflation 10+ times | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $5,350 | −$5,350 −100% | 20 |
| 759d | Miracle007 | Trump Reciprocal Trade Act | BuyNo28¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | +$6,499 +257% | 24 |
| 759d | anon1565 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$120 +5.3% | 20 |
| 759d | Wloczega2 fills | Energy 10+ times | BuyNo20¢ → 100¢ | $3,039 | +$12,487 +411% | 34 |
| 759d | gimpyegon | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$447 +41% | 30 |
| 759d | Wloczega3 fills | Putin 2+ times | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $4,984 | −$4,984 −100% | 30 |
| 759d | georgejetson | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $3,040 | −$3,040 −100% | 28 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his speech scheduled for Mint Hill, North Carolina, on September 25, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China 10+ times means the market gives it about 100%.